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Deal Structuring

The Complete Pharma Due Diligence Checklist for Licensing & M&A

A practical, comprehensive guide covering every critical dimension of pharmaceutical due diligence—from scientific validation to legal compliance. Built for BD professionals who need to get it right.

February 16, 2026
20 min read
Vision Lifesciences
The Complete Pharma Due Diligence Checklist for Licensing & M&A

The Cost of Incomplete Due Diligence

In 2025, pharma M&A exceeded $240 billion and licensing deals topped $250 billion across 516 transactions. Behind every successful deal is a rigorous due diligence process that separated promising opportunities from value traps. And behind many failed deals—collapsed acquisitions, terminated licenses, write-downs—lies incomplete or superficial due diligence. This checklist distills decades of deal experience into a practical framework that BD professionals can use from the first data room access to final deal close.

Why Due Diligence Matters

Due diligence is the foundation upon which every pharmaceutical deal is built. It serves three critical functions: risk identification (what could go wrong), value validation (is this asset worth what we think it is), and deal structuring (how should payment terms reflect the risk profile). Poor due diligence leads to overpayment, unforeseen liabilities, and strategic misalignment.

The complexity of pharma due diligence is unique among industries. Unlike a technology acquisition where the product is already in-market, pharmaceutical assets often exist as clinical-stage candidates with years of development remaining, regulatory uncertainty, and competitive dynamics that can shift overnight. Evaluating these assets requires deep expertise across science, law, regulation, and commerce simultaneously.

The Seven Pillars of Pharma Due Diligence

1
Scientific / Clinical
2
Intellectual Property
3
Regulatory
4
Commercial
5
Financial
6
Manufacturing / CMC
7
Legal

Due Diligence as Deal Leverage

Thorough due diligence is not just about risk mitigation—it is a powerful negotiation tool. Identifying specific risks during DD allows you to negotiate price adjustments, milestone-based payment structures, indemnification clauses, and representations and warranties that protect your position. The better your DD, the stronger your deal terms.

Scientific & Clinical Due Diligence

Scientific due diligence is the cornerstone of any pharma deal evaluation. It assesses whether the drug's mechanism of action is sound, whether preclinical and clinical data support continued development, and whether the therapeutic hypothesis is likely to translate into a viable product.

Mechanism of Action & Target Validation

1

Evaluate the scientific rationale: Is the target validated by human genetics, clinical observations, or competitive proof-of-concept?

2

Assess target novelty vs. established biology: First-in-class targets carry higher scientific risk but potentially greater commercial reward

3

Review published literature and competitor clinical results for the same or related targets

4

Evaluate selectivity profile: Does the drug hit the intended target cleanly, or are off-target effects a concern?

5

Assess the biomarker strategy: Are there validated biomarkers that can demonstrate target engagement and predict clinical response?

6

Review key opinion leader (KOL) perspectives on the mechanism and therapeutic approach

Preclinical Data Assessment

1

Review in vitro and in vivo efficacy data: Are results reproducible across multiple models?

2

Assess toxicology studies: GLP-compliant tox package, dose-limiting toxicities, safety margins

3

Evaluate PK/PD profile: Absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion—does the drug have favorable pharmacokinetics?

4

Review any animal model data for efficacy/safety signals that may predict human outcomes

5

Assess the translational strategy: How well do the preclinical models predict human disease biology?

Clinical Data Quality

1

Request and review Clinical Study Reports (CSRs), not just top-line results or press releases

2

Assess patient selection criteria: Were inclusion/exclusion criteria appropriate and generalizable?

3

Evaluate endpoint selection: Are primary endpoints clinically meaningful and regulatorily accepted?

4

Review statistical analysis plan: Was the study adequately powered? Were multiplicity adjustments appropriate?

5

Examine safety database: Serious adverse events, treatment discontinuations, dose modifications

6

Assess data consistency across subgroups: Do treatment effects hold across key patient segments?

7

Review patient-reported outcomes (PROs) if applicable: Do patients feel meaningful improvement?

8

Evaluate comparator selection in controlled trials: Is the comparator clinically relevant or a straw man?

Red Flag: Cherry-Picked Data

Be wary of asset presentations that show only favorable subgroup analyses or post-hoc endpoints. Request the full intent-to-treat (ITT) analysis, pre-specified analysis plan, and any amendments to the statistical analysis plan made during the trial. Changes to primary endpoints mid-study are a significant red flag that warrants detailed scrutiny.

Intellectual Property Due Diligence

IP due diligence determines whether the asset has defensible market exclusivity—without which even a clinically superior drug may not justify its development and acquisition costs. This is often where deals are made or broken.

Patent Landscape Analysis

1

Map the complete patent family: Composition of matter, method of use, formulation, manufacturing process, and combination therapy patents

2

Assess patent term and remaining exclusivity: Calculate patent expiration dates in key markets (US, EU, Japan, China) including any extensions (PTE/SPC)

3

Evaluate patent scope: Are claims broad enough to prevent competitive workarounds, or narrowly drafted?

4

Review prosecution history for any limitations, disclaimers, or narrowing amendments made during patent office review

5

Identify pending patent applications and assess their likelihood of grant based on prosecution trajectory

6

Check for inter partes review (IPR), post-grant review (PGR), or opposition proceedings that could invalidate key patents

Freedom-to-Operate (FTO)

1

Commission an independent FTO analysis covering the product as manufactured, formulated, and administered

2

Identify any third-party patents that could block commercialization and assess infringement risk

3

Evaluate existing licenses from third parties: Are they exclusive? What are the royalty terms? Are there sublicensing rights?

4

Review any ongoing or threatened patent litigation that could affect the asset

5

Assess the competitive patent landscape: Are competitors filing patents that could restrict label expansion?

Patent Life Management

1

Assess eligibility for patent term extension (PTE) or supplementary protection certificates (SPCs) in key markets

2

Evaluate lifecycle management strategies: Are there additional indications, formulations, or combinations that could extend effective exclusivity?

3

Review data exclusivity periods: NCE exclusivity (5 years US / 8+2 years EU), orphan drug exclusivity (7 years US / 10 years EU), pediatric exclusivity

4

Assess biosimilar/generic vulnerability: When could generic or biosimilar competition realistically emerge?

IP Due Diligence in Cross-Border Deals

When evaluating assets from Chinese or Asian biotechs, pay particular attention to the China patent landscape. Chinese patent claims are often drafted differently than US/EP counterparts, and the prosecution history may reveal limitations not apparent from the US filings alone. Additionally, verify that all key inventors have properly assigned their rights and that there are no retained rights by the originating institution.

Regulatory Due Diligence

Regulatory due diligence assesses the current filing status, regulatory strategy, and likelihood of approval across target markets. Regulatory missteps can add years to development timelines and billions in costs.

Filing Status & Regulatory Interactions

1

Review all IND/CTA filings and any clinical holds, partial holds, or safety-related correspondence with regulators

2

Obtain records of all FDA/EMA/PMDA meetings: Pre-IND, End-of-Phase 2, Pre-NDA/BLA meetings and their minutes

3

Assess the agreed-upon pivotal study design: Has the FDA concurred on endpoints, patient population, and trial design via SPA or equivalent?

4

Review any FDA Complete Response Letters (CRLs) or Refuse to File (RTF) communications and resolution strategy

5

Evaluate the regulatory pathway: 505(b)(1) vs. 505(b)(2), BLA, accelerated approval, standard review

Special Designations & Expedited Pathways

1

Document all special designations: Breakthrough Therapy, Fast Track, Priority Review, Orphan Drug, RMAT, SAKIGAKE (Japan)

2

Verify designation status: Are designations still active? Have any been rescinded?

3

Assess the impact of designations on development timeline and review speed

4

Evaluate eligibility for additional designations that could accelerate development or provide market exclusivity

5

For cross-border deals: Map regulatory status in all relevant markets (US FDA, EU EMA, Japan PMDA, China NMPA, UK MHRA)

CMC Regulatory Readiness

1

Assess whether the Chemistry, Manufacturing, and Controls (CMC) package is ready to support a regulatory filing

2

Review analytical method validation status and stability data

3

Evaluate whether the manufacturing process has been locked at commercial scale or if further optimization is needed

4

Identify any CMC-related deficiencies that regulators have flagged in prior interactions

Commercial Due Diligence

Commercial due diligence validates the revenue potential of the asset by assessing market size, competitive positioning, pricing dynamics, and the target patient population. This is where scientific promise meets market reality.

Market Size & Patient Population

1

Quantify the total addressable market (TAM) using epidemiological data: Incidence, prevalence, diagnosis rates, treatment rates

2

Estimate the serviceable addressable market (SAM): What portion of patients would realistically be eligible for and receive the product?

3

Assess market growth dynamics: Is the patient population growing, stable, or declining?

4

Evaluate unmet medical need: How well are current treatments serving patients? What proportion are inadequately treated?

5

Review payer landscape: What proportion of patients are covered by commercial insurance vs. government programs?

Competitive Landscape

1

Map all approved competitors: Market share, pricing, strengths and limitations of each

2

Identify all clinical-stage competitors: Phase, expected approval timelines, differentiation claims

3

Assess potential generic/biosimilar competition and timing for existing treatments

4

Evaluate the product's differentiation: Is it best-in-class, first-in-class, or a me-too in a crowded field?

5

Conduct a SWOT analysis relative to the top 3 current and emerging competitors

6

Assess switching barriers: How difficult is it for physicians and patients to switch from existing treatments?

Pricing & Reimbursement

1

Develop a pricing strategy and benchmark against comparable products in the same therapeutic area

2

Assess payer willingness-to-pay: Conduct advisory boards or review analogous product payer experiences

3

Evaluate health economic value proposition: What cost-effectiveness data supports premium pricing?

4

Assess reimbursement risk by market: US commercial, US Medicare Part B/D, EU reference pricing, Japan NHI

5

Consider IRA (Inflation Reduction Act) implications: Is the product subject to Medicare price negotiation?

The Peak Sales Trap

Be skeptical of peak sales projections provided by the selling party. Independent validation of market size, market share assumptions, and pricing is essential. Many deals have been overvalued because the acquirer accepted optimistic commercial projections without conducting their own bottom-up market analysis. Always build your own revenue model from first principles.

Financial Due Diligence

Financial due diligence goes beyond validating balance sheet numbers. For pharma deals, it means stress-testing the assumptions that drive the net present value (NPV) of the asset—development costs, probability of success, time to market, and revenue projections.

1

Build an independent risk-adjusted NPV (rNPV) model using your own probability of success estimates for each development phase

2

Estimate remaining development costs: Clinical trial costs, CMC scale-up, regulatory filing fees, pre-launch activities

3

Project cost-of-goods sold (COGS): Raw materials, manufacturing, quality testing, packaging, distribution

4

Build a detailed P&L model: Revenue build, gross margin, SG&A requirements (including sales force sizing), R&D for lifecycle management

5

Assess the target company's burn rate and runway: How long can they fund operations without the deal?

6

Review historical spending patterns: Are they consistent with stated development timelines?

7

Model multiple scenarios: Bull case, base case, bear case, and deal failure scenarios with associated probabilities

8

Calculate key deal metrics: IRR, NPV, payback period, and risk-adjusted return on investment

9

For M&A: Conduct a full financial audit including tax liabilities, deferred revenue, operating leases, and off-balance-sheet obligations

10

Assess milestone payment triggers: Are they clearly defined, objectively measurable, and aligned with value-creating events?

Probability of Success Benchmarks

Industry-standard probability of technical and regulatory success (PTRS) benchmarks: Phase 1 to approval ~7-11%, Phase 2 to approval ~15-20%, Phase 3 to approval ~50-60%. However, these vary significantly by therapeutic area: oncology Phase 2-to-approval is approximately 10-15%, while rare disease is closer to 25-30%. Always use indication-specific success rates in your rNPV model.
BIO, Pharmaprojects, DiMasi et al.

Manufacturing & CMC Due Diligence

Manufacturing due diligence has become increasingly critical in the post-BIOSECURE Act environment. Supply chain resilience, CDMO relationships, and manufacturing scalability can make or break a product's commercial viability.

Manufacturing Process

1

Assess process development maturity: Is the manufacturing process locked, or does it require further optimization?

2

Review batch records and manufacturing history: Consistency, yields, impurity profiles, process parameters

3

Evaluate scalability: Has the process been demonstrated at clinical scale? What are the challenges of scaling to commercial volumes?

4

Assess analytical methods: Are they validated, stability-indicating, and capable of supporting regulatory filings?

5

Review stability data: Does the product have adequate shelf life to support commercial distribution?

CDMO & Supply Chain

1

Identify all CDMOs and their roles: Drug substance, drug product, fill-finish, packaging, testing

2

Review CDMO contracts: Term, exclusivity provisions, capacity commitments, quality agreements, termination clauses

3

Assess CDMO geographic risk: Exposure to single countries, BIOSECURE Act implications for China-based CDMOs

4

Evaluate backup manufacturing options: Is there a second-source CDMO identified and qualified?

5

Review supply chain for critical raw materials and starting materials: Single-source risks, lead times, quality consistency

6

Assess cold chain requirements and distribution logistics for temperature-sensitive products

Quality & Compliance

1

Review the quality management system: SOPs, deviation handling, CAPA processes, change control

2

Obtain recent FDA/EMA inspection history for all manufacturing sites: Any warning letters, 483 observations, or consent decrees?

3

Assess GMP compliance status of all manufacturing partners

4

Review any product quality complaints or recalls in the product's history

BIOSECURE Act Supply Chain Alert

Any asset with manufacturing dependencies on Chinese CDMOs—particularly WuXi AppTec, WuXi Biologics, or entities that may be designated as Biotechnology Companies of Concern—requires enhanced supply chain DD. Factor in the cost and timeline of CDMO migration (typically 12-24 months for biologics) when modeling deal economics. See our full BIOSECURE Act analysis for details.

Cross-Border Deal Considerations

Cross-border pharmaceutical deals—particularly those involving Chinese, Japanese, or European assets—introduce additional layers of due diligence complexity that domestic transactions do not face.

China Cross-Border DD

  • Verify NMPA regulatory filings and their alignment with FDA/EMA strategies
  • Assess data generated under Chinese GCP standards: Will it be accepted by FDA/EMA?
  • Review China data export regulations and their impact on clinical data transfer
  • Evaluate the BIOSECURE Act implications for any China-based manufacturing
  • Assess the "China discount" in valuation: Chinese assets typically receive 60-70% lower upfronts vs. Western peers
  • Verify IP ownership and ensure all inventor assignments are properly documented under Chinese law

Japan Cross-Border DD

  • Understand PMDA regulatory requirements and potential need for Japan-specific bridging studies
  • Assess NHI drug pricing system implications for product profitability
  • Evaluate SAKIGAKE designation status and its impact on development timelines
  • Navigate cultural and communication differences in deal negotiations and data sharing
  • Review Japan-specific patent landscape and patent linkage system

European Cross-Border DD

  • Map EMA centralized vs. decentralized approval pathway implications
  • Assess HTA (Health Technology Assessment) readiness across key EU markets
  • Review EU reference pricing dynamics and their impact on launch sequencing
  • Evaluate post-Brexit UK regulatory divergence (MHRA) and its deal implications
  • Assess EU clinical trial regulations and data protection (GDPR) compliance

The Cross-Border DD Premium

Cross-border due diligence typically costs 30-50% more and takes 25-40% longer than domestic DD processes. However, the additional investment is essential. In our experience advising on cross-border transactions, the most common deal failures stem not from scientific risk but from regulatory, IP, or contractual issues that only surface through thorough cross-border DD.

Need Support on Your Next Licensing or M&A Deal?

With offices in Shanghai, Hong Kong, Zurich, and Chicago, we bring cross-border deal expertise to every phase of the transaction—from initial target screening and due diligence coordination to deal structuring and close.

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